Reviews

–

Zhihu Review: How Deep Is This US Market Correction?

Analysis of a Zhihu article on US stock market correction — semiconductor crowding, leverage blowup risk, and the 10Y yield tipping point

US StocksSemiconductorsCorrectionInterest RatesMarket Analysis

Warsh's FOMC Debut: The Hawk Is Real, But Iran Holds the Key

Deep dive into the June FOMC meeting — dot plot hawkish turn, statement rewrite, forward guidance scrapped, but the real variable is the Strait of Hormuz and Iran peace talks

FOMCFedWarshIranHormuzratesinflationcrude oil

Korea's Circuit Breakers: Leverage, Capital Flight, and the 'Patriotic Buying' Paradox

KOSPI triggered circuit breakers 3 consecutive days. Foreign outflows hit $76B. Retail margin debt at all-time highs. Data verification, conspiracy theory teardown, and macro linkage analysis

Leverage unwind in progress, dangerous short-term
Korean StocksKOSPICircuit BreakerLeverageForeign OutflowsEmerging MarketsDollar Cycle

The Four-Stage Rate Hike Playbook: Is Warsh a Volcker or a Burns?

A Zhihu article proposes a four-stage script for the Fed hiking cycle (ignition → loss of credibility → stagflation → endgame). Core thesis: Warsh is 'the second Burns'. Framework has depth but is overly deterministic

Framework has depth, but gold narrative contradicts reality
Federal ReserveRate HikesKevin WarshGoldStagflationVolckerBurnsUSD Credit

Gold Crash Dissected: How Long Can the Rate Hike Narrative Hold?

Gold enters bear market, down from $5,600 to $4,046. But the long-term logic hasn't broken — this is a cyclical pullback driven by rate hike expectations, not the end of a structural bull

Undervalued long-term, under pressure short-term
GoldFederal ReserveRate HikesHormuzOil CrisisInflationKevin Warsh

Article Review: Buffett Playing Dumb?

Verification of @高中数学何帅老师's analysis on Buffett's 'play dumb to sell' strategy

BuffettApplesellingvalue-investing

Article Review: Triple Tech IPO Shock

Verification of @xsgbbx's analysis on structural market impact from SpaceX/OpenAI/Anthropic IPOs

IPOSpaceXOpenAIAnthropicpassive-funds