📊 Market Snapshot

  • Gold XAUUSD: 4431.00 (-0.95%), day range 4490.74 / 4365.76 — weekend close, quote frozen
  • WTI Crude: 89.27 (-0.41%), day range 89.91 / 86.93 — elevated consolidation, geopolitical premium holds

🔥 Key News This Hour

  1. 【Russia-Ukraine】Metinvest: Russian ballistic missile strike on Dnipro steel plant kills 5, production halted — Ukrainian metallurgy capacity hit again, steel supply tightens marginally
  2. 【Middle East】Per Saudi Al Hadath: Yemeni armed forces retake all areas of Hays district, Hodeidah province — shift in Red Sea balance of power, shipping risk premium variable updated
  3. 【Russia-Ukraine】Zelensky: Russia struck Kyiv and Boryspil airport ahead of US envoy’s visit — talks and strikes in parallel, Witkoff visit outcome in doubt
  4. 【China】Shenzhen Aug new-home sales 3,467 units, -23.0% MoM / +4.8% YoY; resale homes 5,108, -2.3% MoM / +7.6% YoY — both segments decline MoM, property recovery slope flattens
  5. 【China】SAC: 150 securities firms H1 net profit RMB 138.664bn, revenue RMB 329.81bn — brokerage sector earnings solid
  6. 【Russia-Ukraine】Russia-appointed governor: Ukrainian strikes on Luhansk region kill 5, injure 5 in past 24h — sustained conflict intensity

🧭 Situation Assessment

After Witkoff landed in Moscow, Russia struck the Dnipro steel plant and Kyiv airport in parallel — “fight while talking” pattern confirmed, near-term substantive peace progress unlikely, crude geopolitical premium holds.

Yemeni forces retaking Hays district in Hodeidah adds a new variable to Red Sea shipping risk — watch shipping rates and oil reaction at Monday’s open.

Gold frozen at 4431 over the weekend; NFP headwind vs. safe-haven bids are in balance — the 4400 line remains the pivot for next week’s direction.

A-share increment is limited: brokers’ H1 net profit of RMB 138.7bn and Shenzhen MoM declines point to moderate fundamentals without new catalysts.

⏰ Upcoming Key Data

  • 9/7 (Mon) Asia open — weekend news digestion (Witkoff visit outcome, Hodeidah situation, Kharg Island aftermath)
  • 9/10 (Thu) 12:30: MPOB August palm oil supply-demand report
  • Next week: US August CPI — the inflation print markets await after the blowout NFP
  • 9/16: Fed FOMC decision