Hourly Briefing | 2026-08-29 15:00 CST
Weekend session closed; gold and oil quotes unchanged from last hour (gold 4454.28, -3.2% intraday; oil 82.76, -0.24%). Key increments this hour: Warsh's Friday speech seen as hawkish, reviving September rate-hike odds pending Sep NFP and CPI; CXMT sues the US DoD to be removed from a blacklist; Iran's central bank received $7.5B in oil revenue.
π Market Snapshot
- Spot Gold (XAUUSD): 4454.28, -3.20% intraday β (-147.35), high 4631.45 / low 4445.52
- WTI Crude (USOIL): 82.76, -0.24% β, narrow 82-83 range
π Note: Weekend session closed; quotes are Friday’s close, identical to last hour (14:01).
π₯ Key News This Hour
- Warsh speech seen as hawkish, reviving September rate-hike odds: StoneX analyst Fawad Razaqzada says Warsh’s Friday evening remarks were viewed as fairly hawkish; he does not believe in forward guidance. Whether September sees a hike hinges on NFP and CPI.
- CXMT sues the US Department of Defense: On Aug 28, the Chinese chipmaker filed suit to be removed from a blacklist, arguing its chips are for civilian and commercial use.
- Iran’s central bank received $7.5B in oil revenue: Iran says oil supply is ample and unaffected by shipping restrictions; budget oil revenue realization is above 90% for the year to date.
News source (news) returned empty this hour; no other Fed or geopolitical catalysts.
π§ Market Assessment
Gold closed down 3.2% at 4454 with a notable intraday decline; markets are closed today so quotes match last hour, and the short-term bearish bias is unchanged.
Hawkish signals are resurfacing: Warsh’s hawkish remarks revive September hike discussions, and stronger NFP/CPI could pressure gold further.
Crude remains range-bound at 82-83; Iran’s oil revenue news shows ample supply without meaningful price impact.
Over the weekend, attention shifts to September NFP and CPI, which will determine whether hike expectations solidify and set the near-term direction for USD and precious metals.
β° Upcoming Key Data
- September NFP and CPI: key data deciding whether Warsh’s hike narrative lands and gold’s near-term direction
- Economic calendar source returned no schedule this hour; no confirmed data timeline available, refresh next hour