πŸ“Š Market Snapshot

  • Spot Gold (XAUUSD): 4641.28 (+0.83%) β€” supported by safe-haven demand, holding above 4640
  • WTI Crude (USOIL): 85.19 (-1.29%) β€” traders shed risk awaiting US sanctions on Iran

πŸ”₯ Key News This Hour

  • “Toughest” US sanctions land tonight: Treasury Secretary Bessent to announce more Iran sanctions at 02:00 Beijing time on the 25th, which could further disrupt Middle East oil supply; crude fell over $1/bbl on the wait.
  • Iraq, Qatar in rare tenders for crude loaded inside the Strait of Hormuz: SOMO offers September Basrah crude, QatarEnergy offers Sept/Oct cargoes loaded in the strait β€” both require buyers to load inside Hormuz.
  • Saudi Arabia mulls state-backed war-risk insurance: per FT, Riyadh is in talks with London brokers on a war and political-risk scheme to insure regional shipping against conflict threats.
  • Oman’s foreign minister to visit Tehran Tuesday: Iran’s foreign ministry says the trip continues bilateral consultations on the Strait of Hormuz.
  • Thailand weighs tax on gold trading and imports: finance minister says it targets illicit fund flows, but clarifies no intention of imposing a heavy gold levy.
  • Shell seeks to offload US chemicals assets: per FT, a deal could reach $8B, drawing interest from ExxonMobil and LyondellBasell.
  • Jefferies raises CrowdStrike price target: from $190 to $230.
  • Won hits strongest since mid-Sept 2025: USD/KRW to 1376.50.
  • Hong Kong stocks tumble at midday: Hang Seng down 2.09%, Hang Seng Tech down 3.84% as tech names broadly slump.
  • Putin warns Ukraine: “Pandora’s box” is open as the conflict morphs into a full economic offensive over refineries and the Black Sea grain corridor.
  • Divergence in US Treasuries: PIMCO sees attractive yields while Dalio warns of a $40T debt-crisis risk.

🧭 Assessment

The “toughest” US sanctions on Iran are due at 2 AM Beijing time, keeping crude markets in a highly watchful mood this hour with prices down over 1%.

Rare tenders for crude loaded inside the Strait of Hormuz by Iraq and Qatar, plus Saudi Arabia’s war-risk insurance plan, point to deepening real-world disruption to trade from the Middle East conflict.

Gold holds above 4640, with safe-haven demand and a weaker-dollar bias continuing to underpin the precious metal.

Hong Kong tech’s midday slump and a firmer won extend Asia risk-off signals, weighing on sentiment ahead of tonight’s US open.


⏰ Upcoming Key Data

  • Today 20:30 US Chicago Fed National Activity Index for July (⭐⭐)
  • 02:00 Tomorrow US announcement of “toughest” sanctions on Iran (key event)
  • Tomorrow 14:00 Germany Q2 GDP final (⭐⭐⭐)
  • Tomorrow 16:00 Germany August IFO Business Climate (⭐⭐⭐)