πŸ“Š Market Snapshot

AssetLastDaily Change
Gold (XAUUSD)4,392.83-0.39% ↓
WTI Crude (USOIL)81.61-0.11% ↓

Gold spiked to 4,416 before retreating to 4,393, consolidating near the 4,400 handle. Crude trading in a tight 80.9-82.1 range.


πŸ”₯ Key News This Hour

1. CITIC Capital’s Acquisition of Alibaba’s Lingxi Interactive Officially Effective Lingxi Interactive CEO Zhou Bingshu confirmed in an internal letter that Alibaba will divest its stake, with CICC Capital (CITIC Capital affiliate) officially taking over. Another milestone in Chinese internet asset restructuring.

2. Piper Sandler Raises PayPal Price Target to $59 Piper Sandler significantly raised PayPal (PYPL) price target from $42 to $59, a clear bullish signal.

3. A-Share and HK Chip Stocks Rally Across the Board A-share storage chip sector sees multiple limit-ups (Yingfangwei et al.), HK’s Hua Hong up 6%+, SMIC up 5%+. Hang Seng Tech index up 2%. SenseTime up 8%+.

4. Philippine Central Bank: Inflation Outlook Has Deteriorated The BSP stated that second-round inflation effects will be more significant, and it stands ready to take necessary measures to bring inflation back to target.

5. Korea-US Tariff Deal: $200B Investment Plan Still Has Unresolved Issues Yonhap reports that the $200 billion investment plan from Korea-US tariff negotiations still has outstanding unresolved matters.

6. DeepSeek Releases Harness Developer Preview China Merchants Securities notes that DeepSeek has released and open-sourced the DSH framework, with domestic open-source model ecosystem competitiveness continuing to improve.

7. Fuel Oil Futures Surge 4% Fuel oil main contract at 3,950 yuan/ton, up 4% intraday, diverging from crude oil’s flat performance.


🧭 Situation Assessment

Gold spiked to 4,416 before retreating to 4,393, with the 4,400 level acting as short-term resistance; ANZ’s $5,200 long-term target widens the bull-bear divergence.

Chip stocks rally in sync across A-shares and HK, with storage, equipment, and design all rising, reflecting continued domestic substitution momentum.

Middle East situation shows marginal de-escalation signals, with Hamas reaffirming “demilitarization” commitment and Kushner pushing negotiations in Israel, though concrete actions remain pending.

The Philippine central bank’s hawkish tone highlights that Asia-Pacific inflation pressure persists, with second-round effects as the key variable.

Today’s 15:00 China July economic data is the most important event this week, with retail sales expected at 1.5% (prev. 1.0%) and industrial output at 4.8% (prev. 5.3%), which will define A-share short-term direction.


⏰ Upcoming Key Data

  • 12:30 β€” Japan June Industrial Output Mo Final (prev. 1.3%)
  • 15:00 ⭐⭐⭐ β€” China July Retail Sales YoY (exp. 1.5%), Industrial Value-Added YoY (exp. 4.8%), Urban Fixed Asset Investment, etc.
  • 20:30 ⭐⭐⭐ β€” Canada July CPI Mo (exp. 0.4%), CPI YoY (exp. 2.9%)