πŸ“Š Market Overview

AssetLastDaily Change
Gold XAUUSD$4,375.59-0.57%
WTI Crude USOIL$81.52-1.34%
S&P 500 SPX7,785.73-0.17%
Dow Jones DJI53,732.41-0.20%

US markets closed slightly lower on Friday; closed for weekend.

πŸ”₯ Key News This Hour

1. NVIDIA Scales Back OpenAI Data Center Guarantee

Per WSJ, NVIDIA and OpenAI are nearing a financing deal for a 10GW data center campus in Ohio, but the deal structure has been revised: NVIDIA’s guarantee reduced from $250B to under $120B, covering only 5GW, in response to investor concerns over financial risk.

2. Trump Urges Americans to Accept Higher Oil Prices

Trump stated in a New York speech that Americans should “accept higher gas prices” as the cost of stopping Iran from obtaining nuclear weapons, and again claimed he would declare the Strait of Hormuz as US territory after “defeating Iran.”

3. Iran Responds Forcefully to Trump

Iran’s Deputy Foreign Minister responded that “the Strait of Hormuz cannot be controlled by a tweet, an aircraft carrier, or an executive order”; IRGC Navy Commander stated the strait remains under full Iranian military control.

4. UAE Vessel Attacked in Strait of Hormuz

An Abu Dhabi National Oil Company vessel was attacked on the night of the 14th while transiting the Strait of Hormuz, with no casualties. This follows reports of two UAE tankers attacked by Iran on the night of the 13th.

5. Middle East Situation Update

US Central Command denies pushing for a new military strike on Iran; 62 merchant vessels diverted, 3 disabled. Israel launched a new round of airstrikes on Al-Mansouri in southern Lebanon.

6. Russia-Ukraine Conflict Update

Finland established temporary air and maritime traffic restrictions in the eastern Gulf of Finland; a drone was shot down in Latvian airspace with NATO fighters scrambled; Lavrov stated Russia will intensify efforts to destroy Western aid to Ukraine.

7. Daily Tech Highlights

Alibaba open-sources Qwen3.8 (over 3 billion global downloads); Apple partners with Alibaba to train a China-specific large model; Zhipu releases GLM-5.3 model with improved coding and long-duration task performance.

8. Indonesia 7.7 Magnitude Earthquake

A 7.7 magnitude earthquake struck near Flores Island; tsunami warning lifted; 1 death reported so far.

🧭 Assessment

Middle East geopolitical risk continues to escalate β€” Trump’s “takeover of Hormuz Strait” rhetoric combined with repeated attacks on UAE vessels puts strait transit security in focus.

Oil prices fell rather than rose, indicating the market has not yet priced in strait disruption risk, trading more on demand-supply balance.

NVIDIA scaling back OpenAI guarantees marks the first major “retreat” signal in the AI infrastructure boom β€” investors are beginning to question the sustainability of AI capital expenditure.

US markets closed for weekend; watch next week’s open for pricing of geopolitical risk and AI sector adjustment.

⏰ Upcoming Key Data

  • No major US economic data releases today (Saturday)
  • Next week: API/EIA crude oil inventories, initial jobless claims, and other routine data