πŸ“Š Market Overview

AssetLatestChange
Gold (XAUUSD)4323.10-0.41% ↓
WTI Oil (USOIL)79.81+4.54% ↑
  • Gold slipped to 4323 after hitting an intraday high of 4362, trading in a 4313-4362 range.
  • Crude Oil surged with WTI up over 4.5% and Brent above $85 (highest since Aug 4). Kazakhstan’s 40% production increase failed to cap gains.
  • Natural Gas US futures up 5%, hitting a two-week high as LNG export flows reached a one-month peak.
  • USD/JPY touched 159, up 0.78% on the day, erasing half of the joint US-Japan intervention gains.

πŸ”₯ Key News This Hour

1. Microsoft Maia 300 AI Chip to Debut in September with 300k+ TSMC Units Microsoft plans to release its next-gen Maia 300 AI chip as early as September, having secured 300k+ units from TSMC for 2027 delivery. Microsoft believes Maia can run its own and OpenAI’s models at lower cost. MSFT up 1.4%.

2. Oil Complex Surges β€” Brent Above $85 WTI crude up 4.5% to $79.8, Brent up 4.3% above $85. SC crude up 2.12%. US natural gas up 5%. Despite Kazakhstan’s 40% production increase, the market focused on demand and geopolitical risks.

3. USD/JPY Hits 159 β€” Intervention Gains Half Erased USD/JPY rose 0.78% to 159, undoing half of the joint US-Japan intervention. Japan’s June current account unexpectedly turned negative at -923 billion yen (expected +15,120 billion), with trade balance at -1,352 billion yen.

4. Apple Down 2.1% on Jefferies Downgrade Apple fell over 2% after Jefferies cut its rating. Intel dropped 4% on a $15 billion stock offering plan. Cloudflare fell 2.3% on a $2.175 billion convertible note issuance.

5. Archer Aviation Soars 14% on Boeing Subsidiary Acquisition Archer Aviation acquired Boeing’s Wisk Aero, Insitu, and Skygrid subsidiaries, sending shares up 14%. SpaceX rose 1.8%, back above its $135 IPO price.

6. Trump Targets Fed Again β€” Hassett Declines Nomination Amid the Fed board dismissal controversy, Hassett distanced himself and declined to be considered, but noted that if he were at the Fed, he would hold or cut rates in September.

7. Wall Street Options Market Shows Extreme Bullish Signal US options markets flashed the strongest bullish signal in four years. FOMO sentiment dominates again, with institutional investors preferring to “get hurt rather than miss out.”

8. “Big Short” Burry Bearish on Berkshire Hathaway Michael Burry stated that Berkshire Hathaway is not an attractive investment going forward. Barrick Mining fell 8% after missing Q2 profit expectations.

🧭 Market Assessment

Oil surge is the most notable market move this hour β€” Brent above $85 plus natural gas up 5% signals strong short-term momentum in energy.

USD/JPY back at 159 with Japan’s current account turning negative; intervention effects continue to fade, making 160 the key level to watch again.

Microsoft’s Maia 300 chip launching in September signals accelerating in-house silicon development among tech giants, posing a medium-term challenge to Nvidia’s compute dominance.

Apple downgrade combined with Intel’s $15B raise highlights intensifying divergence within the tech sector.

The extreme bullish options signal warrants caution β€” four-year extreme bullish positioning often signals overheated market sentiment.

⏰ Upcoming Key Data

  • 22:00 ⭐⭐ US July Conference Board Employment Trends Index (prev 106.69)
  • 23:30 ⭐ US 3-month/6-month Treasury auctions
  • Tomorrow 07:01 ⭐⭐ UK July BRC Retail Sales
  • Tomorrow 08:00 ⭐⭐ Singapore Q2 GDP YoY (expected 5.9%)