📊 Market Overview

AssetLast PriceDaily ChangeRange
Gold XAUUSD$4,341.11-2.37% ↓$4,229.73 - $4,371.77
WTI Crude USOIL$76.35-1.32% ↓$75.68 - $77.87

⚠️ Weekend data reflects Friday’s close. Gold saw a $140+ intraday swing, dipping to $4,230 before rebounding $110+, but still closed down 2.37%.

🔥 Key News This Hour

1. Ukraine: Kyiv Under Large-Scale Drone and Ballistic Missile Attack

Air raid sirens sounded in Kyiv as the military administration reported drone and ballistic missile threats. A fuel depot in Kyiv caught fire. Odesa and other regions also face drone attack risks. Situation escalating again.

2. Colombia’s New President Announces Enhanced Anti-Drug Crime Measures

New President Delaes普列亚 announced at his inauguration in Cali that the government will soon publish a list of “narco-terrorist organizations” and intensify the crackdown on drug-related crime, pledging to restore national security.

3. Deutsche Bank Previews Next Week’s US CPI

Deutsche Bank’s US economists expect July CPI to come in at +0.15% m/m (vs. -0.42% in June). Core CPI data will also be released on Wednesday, followed by PPI on Thursday. This is the most important macro data release next week.

🧭 Situation Assessment

Gold’s 2.37% single-day plunge with a $140+ range reflects significant safe-haven asset selling pressure, likely tied to pre-weekend profit-taking and reduced liquidity.

WTI crude continues to weaken, down 1.32% to the $76 range, with demand-side concerns persistently pressuring prices.

The large-scale attack on Kyiv indicates the Russia-Ukraine conflict is still escalating, though markets have partially priced in the geopolitical risk premium.

Next week’s CPI is the key variable — Deutsche Bank’s +0.15% m/m forecast represents a notable rebound from June’s -0.42%, and an upside surprise could reinforce the narrative of a slower Fed rate-cut pace.

Gold is oscillating violently in the $4,230-$4,370 range; directional confirmation will likely require next week’s market open.

⏰ Upcoming Key Data

  • Aug 12 (Wed): US July CPI — Deutsche Bank expects +0.15% m/m (prior -0.42%)
  • Aug 13 (Thu): US July PPI
  • Weekend: Markets closed; monitor Russia-Ukraine developments and geopolitical dynamics