π° Hourly Briefing | 2026-07-18 13:00 CST
Iran launches massive retaliatory strikes on US military facilities across Gulf states β Kuwait, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, and Jordan all drawn in. WTI crude surges 3.6%, gold breaks above $4,000.
π Market Snapshot
- Spot Gold (XAUUSD): 4,016.55 (+1.01%), intraday high 4,023.72, low 3,959.66. Safe-haven demand dominates.
- WTI Crude (USOIL): 82.33 (+3.61%), surging nearly 4%. Opened at 79.45, hit a high of 82.59. Escalating Middle East tensions are the core driver.
π₯ Key News This Hour
Core Event: Iran launches massive retaliatory strikes on US military facilities across Gulf states β full-scale escalation underway
- IRGC confirms strikes on US military facilities in Kuwait, warns nations hosting US troops to expect “corresponding responses”
- Kuwaiti military actively intercepting Iranian missiles and drones; nationwide Alert System activated for the fourth time
- Iran strikes US military assets and fuel tanks in Bahrain; Bahrain activates Alert System for the fourth time
- US officials reveal Iran fired a ballistic missile at a US base in Saudi Arabia β first direct strike on Saudi soil in nearly four months
- Jordan intercepts ten Iranian missiles; armed forces report no casualties or material damage
- US strikes target power infrastructure and desalination pumps in Jask, Iran, causing drinking water outages
- Iranian officials in Hormozgan province confirm multiple missiles hit power facilities and desalination pumps in Jask
- Drone strike on logistics center in Tambov, Russia kills 7, injures 24
- Ukraine launches 370 drones at Moscow; Russia claims most were shot down
- Heavy rain and severe thunderstorms forecast for Guangxi, China over the next two days
π§ Situation Assessment
The US-Iran conflict has expanded from military targets to US bases across multiple Gulf states and Iranian civilian infrastructure β the risk of full-scale escalation has risen sharply.
Crude oil surged 3.6% in a single session. If Strait of Hormuz shipping faces disruption, prices could spike further to the $85β90 range.
Gold has broken above $4,000. With safe-haven demand and geopolitical uncertainty, expect a bullish consolidation in the $4,000β4,050 range in the near term.
Weekend market closure means the situation is not yet fully priced in. Watch for gap risk at the Sunday night / Monday Asia open.
Multiple Gulf nations β Kuwait, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, Jordan β are now simultaneously entangled. The spillover effect could push more regional players to seek new security arrangements.
β° Upcoming Key Data
No major economic data releases over the weekend. Primary focus remains on Middle East developments, particularly Iran’s further response to US strikes on civilian infrastructure, and whether the UN Security Council convenes an emergency session.