πŸ“Š Market Snapshot

  • Spot Gold XAUUSD: 4035.26 (-0.43%), range 4028-4062
  • WTI Crude USOIL: 79.11 (-0.07%), range 78.89-79.83
  • Hang Seng Index: +1.46%, Hang Seng Tech: +1.39% (midday close)
  • South Korea KOSPI: SK Hynix up 12%+, Hanmi Semiconductor up 28%+

πŸ”₯ Key News This Hour

US-Iran Conflict Escalates Sharply β€” Iran’s Revolutionary Guard claims it has destroyed US military satellite communication centers, missile and air defense radars, Patriot systems, and HIMARS launchers located in Kuwait (12:46). Earlier, Iran’s IRIB reported that US forces struck a wheat storage silo in Hoveyzeh, Iran, in the early hours of Wednesday (12:26). Axios reports Trump convened a high-level security meeting in the White House Situation Room to discuss expanding strikes against strategic targets inside Iran (12:05).

South Korean Stocks Extend Rally β€” SK Hynix surged over 12%, with the 2x leveraged SK Hynix ETF soaring 24%, rebounding 66% from this week’s low. Hanmi Semiconductor jumped over 28%, driven by record Q2 results and surging AI demand. President Lee Jae-myung cautioned that the market needs time to stabilize after the rapid run-up.

ANZ Slashes Gold Forecast β€” Cut year-end gold price target to $4,600/oz and 12-month forecast to $5,400/oz (12:21).

Oracle Leads Race for Japan’s Top-Secret Cloud β€” FT reports Oracle is in the lead to provide top-secret cloud services to Japan, critical for secure US-Japan intelligence sharing infrastructure (12:12).

BYD Vows to Surpass Toyota β€” BYD executives claim the company can overtake Toyota as the world’s top-selling automaker even without entering the US market (12:06).

Fed Chair Walsh’s Congressional Debut β€” Pledged zero tolerance on inflation, kept rate tools on the table, and vowed to defend Fed independence.


🧭 Assessment

The US-Iran conflict has entered a dangerous new phase, with Iran shifting from proxy warfare to openly claiming strikes on US military installations β€” an unprecedented escalation.

Gold consolidates near 4035; ANZ’s target cut reflects growing skepticism about sustained high gold prices, though geopolitical risk provides near-term support.

Crude oil remains surprisingly calm on Middle East tensions β€” WTI edged down just 0.07%, suggesting the market has not yet priced in a full Strait of Hormuz disruption scenario.

The South Korean semiconductor rally is a confluence of yesterday’s softer CPI print and AI demand momentum, but President Lee’s overheating warning signals correction risk ahead.


⏰ Upcoming Key Data

  • Today’s focus: US June Retail Sales (20:30 CST), US July NAHB Housing Market Index (22:00 CST)