πŸ“Š Market Snapshot

  • Spot Gold (XAUUSD): 4119.27, down 0.11%. Open 4124.87, High 4134.77, Low 4072.52
  • WTI Crude (USOIL): 71.42, down 0.35%. Open 71.67, High 72.90, Low 70.68
  • SPDR Gold Trust holdings decreased 3.199 tons to 1002.449 tons; iShares Silver Trust holdings unchanged

πŸ”₯ Key Headlines This Hour

US-Iran Standoff Intensifies Less than a month after the US-Iran MOU was signed, both sides have exchanged multiple rounds of strikes with escalating tensions. Iran warned that any attack on its territory would bring retaliation against Israel. Israeli sources say Trump currently does not want Israel involved in the conflict, fearing loss of control. Analysts believe the military confrontation is fundamentally a struggle over the Strait of Hormuz. AXIOS reports Trump and the Saudi Crown Prince discussed regional issues including US-Iran talks on Friday. Qatari representatives have flown to Iran to mediate. The US previously demanded Iran give its commitment by Saturday β€” today is the deadline.

Trump Announces Micron $250 Billion US Investment Trump announced on social media that Micron will invest $250 billion to manufacture memory chips in the United States, stating “we are bringing manufacturing back to America and securing our supply chains.”

Russia Launches Missile Attack on Kyiv Ukrainian authorities reported a Russian missile attack on Kyiv. AFP reported at least five explosions were heard in the capital.

China Commercial Aerospace ETF Boom On July 10, China’s A-share commercial aerospace sector surged, with multiple satellite ETFs up over 8% and one ETF seeing nearly 2.1 billion yuan in single-day net subscriptions. The Long March 10B rocket applied LNG-derived high-purity methane fuel at scale for the first time. Total ETF count surpassed 1,600, with stock ETFs absorbing nearly 100 billion yuan this month.

OpenAI Safety Head to Resign Amid OpenAI’s restructuring, safety systems head Johannes Heidecke announced his departure. The reorganization aims to merge the safety division with the research division.

Other Notable Items

  • Jiangsu raised typhoon emergency response to Level III as Typhoon “Bavi” approaches East China coast
  • NDRC: National electricity load hit a record 1.518 billion kW
  • MOFCOM and GAC imposed temporary export ban on helium
  • China’s futures market turnover up over 40% YoY in H1
  • Northern California hit by 4.2 magnitude earthquake at 10.7 km depth
  • US Acting Director of National Intelligence launched third round of “redundant/non-critical personnel” reduction

🧭 Situation Assessment

US-Iran tensions are the dominant geopolitical risk variable. Today is the “Saturday deadline” the US set for Iran β€” the Strait of Hormuz standoff enters a critical window

Gold hovers narrowly above 4100. ETF holdings declined slightly but no panic selling emerged β€” the market awaits Iran’s response

Crude oil is supported by Middle East tensions but capped by demand concerns. The 71-73 range-bound pattern remains intact

Micron’s $250 billion investment plan combined with SK Hynix ADR’s 12% first-day surge keeps the memory chip sector hot. Watch semiconductor sentiment next week

The Kyiv missile strike signals renewed Russia-Ukraine escalation, but markets have become marginally desensitized to such events

Typhoon “Bavi” may impact East China supply chains and port logistics. Monitor shipping and energy-related instruments in the near term

⏰ Upcoming Key Events

  • Today (Saturday): US deadline for Iran to commit on negotiations
  • Monday: China State Council press conference on H1 2026 import/export data
  • Tuesday: US June CPI YoY (market focus)
  • July 16-17: Live-fire drills in southern Yellow Sea (navigation warning)