Morning Briefing (00:00-08:00 CST) | 2026-07-06
Gold tops $4,200 hitting two-week high; OPEC+ 5th consecutive monthly output hike weighs on oil; Russia launches massive ballistic missile strike on Kyiv escalating geopolitical risks
π Market Snapshot
- Spot Gold: $4,183/oz (+0.20%), briefly topped $4,200 hitting two-week high
- WTI Crude: $68.49/bbl (-0.88%), pressured by OPEC+ fifth consecutive monthly output hike
- USD Index: -
π₯ Key Overnight News
- OPEC+ decided at Sunday’s meeting to increase output by ~188K bpd in August, the fifth consecutive monthly increase, weighing on oil prices
- Spot gold briefly broke above $4,200/oz, hitting a two-week high; Australia’s Genesis Minerals bids A$5.6B for gold miner Vault Minerals
- Russia launched multiple rounds of ballistic missile strikes on Kyiv, ~15 explosions within 10 minutes, air raid alerts ongoing
- Israeli PM Netanyahu says he will continue opposing Iran’s nuclear program regardless of any US-Iran deal
- RBNZ meeting this Wednesday β both ANZ and Westpac expect rates to stay at 2.25%, falling oil prices have reduced the urgency to hike
- Shanghai Containerized Freight Index (SCFI) rose to 3,326.87, +87.23 pts WoW; coke prices see 10th round of hikes at +50-55 yuan/ton
- A-share market expands after-hours fixed-price trading (15:05-15:30) to main board and ETFs starting today
- Hon Hai (Foxconn) June revenue NT$821.8B, +52.1% YoY
- Trump plans to meet Zelensky at the NATO summit to push Russia-Ukraine negotiations, while also seeking to open a communication channel with Putin
π§ Market Assessment
Gold remains strong supported by geopolitical risks (Russia-Ukraine, Middle East) and central bank buying, with fierce tug-of-war at the $4,200 level
OPEC+ continued output hikes combined with global economic slowdown expectations keep oil under medium-term pressure, with $68 support facing a test
This week’s focus: FOMC minutes (Warsh’s debut internal details) and ECB minutes β markets are hunting for year-end rate hike clues
Russia-Ukraine tensions escalate again with massive strikes on Kyiv; geopolitical risk premium may rise further during the NATO summit
π Today’s Key Data Calendar
- 08:30 HKT Hong Kong June Manufacturing PMI
- 15:00 CET Swiss June Unemployment Rate (exp. 3.10%)
- 16:30 CET Eurozone July Sentix Investor Confidence (exp. -10)
- 17:00 CET Eurozone May PPI MoM (exp. 0.2%) & Retail Sales
- 21:45 EST US June S&P Global Services PMI Final
- 22:00 EST US June ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (exp. 54) β