πŸ“Š Market Snapshot

  • Spot Gold: $4,183/oz (+0.20%), briefly topped $4,200 hitting two-week high
  • WTI Crude: $68.49/bbl (-0.88%), pressured by OPEC+ fifth consecutive monthly output hike
  • USD Index: -

πŸ”₯ Key Overnight News

  • OPEC+ decided at Sunday’s meeting to increase output by ~188K bpd in August, the fifth consecutive monthly increase, weighing on oil prices
  • Spot gold briefly broke above $4,200/oz, hitting a two-week high; Australia’s Genesis Minerals bids A$5.6B for gold miner Vault Minerals
  • Russia launched multiple rounds of ballistic missile strikes on Kyiv, ~15 explosions within 10 minutes, air raid alerts ongoing
  • Israeli PM Netanyahu says he will continue opposing Iran’s nuclear program regardless of any US-Iran deal
  • RBNZ meeting this Wednesday β€” both ANZ and Westpac expect rates to stay at 2.25%, falling oil prices have reduced the urgency to hike
  • Shanghai Containerized Freight Index (SCFI) rose to 3,326.87, +87.23 pts WoW; coke prices see 10th round of hikes at +50-55 yuan/ton
  • A-share market expands after-hours fixed-price trading (15:05-15:30) to main board and ETFs starting today
  • Hon Hai (Foxconn) June revenue NT$821.8B, +52.1% YoY
  • Trump plans to meet Zelensky at the NATO summit to push Russia-Ukraine negotiations, while also seeking to open a communication channel with Putin

🧭 Market Assessment

Gold remains strong supported by geopolitical risks (Russia-Ukraine, Middle East) and central bank buying, with fierce tug-of-war at the $4,200 level

OPEC+ continued output hikes combined with global economic slowdown expectations keep oil under medium-term pressure, with $68 support facing a test

This week’s focus: FOMC minutes (Warsh’s debut internal details) and ECB minutes β€” markets are hunting for year-end rate hike clues

Russia-Ukraine tensions escalate again with massive strikes on Kyiv; geopolitical risk premium may rise further during the NATO summit


πŸ“… Today’s Key Data Calendar

  • 08:30 HKT Hong Kong June Manufacturing PMI
  • 15:00 CET Swiss June Unemployment Rate (exp. 3.10%)
  • 16:30 CET Eurozone July Sentix Investor Confidence (exp. -10)
  • 17:00 CET Eurozone May PPI MoM (exp. 0.2%) & Retail Sales
  • 21:45 EST US June S&P Global Services PMI Final
  • 22:00 EST US June ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (exp. 54) ⭐