πŸ“Š Market Snapshot

AssetPriceChange%
Gold XAUUSD4331.32+22.50+0.52%
WTI Crude80.798-0.590-0.73%

Gold rebounded above 4330, supported by geopolitical safe-haven demand and a softer dollar. Crude oil remained under pressure with Hormuz Strait reopening expectations weighing.

A-shares closed morning session higher: ChiNext +2.05%, SZSE Component +1.17%, SSE Composite +0.06%. PCB and advanced materials sectors led gains. Half-day turnover hit CNY 1.95T. ChiNext ETF Fundu (159971) plunged over 10% after resumption from trading halt.

Nikkei 225 crossed 70,000 for the first time in history. TOPIX recovered from initial dip post-BOJ decision.


πŸ”₯ Key News This Hour

β€’ BOJ hikes + stops bond tapering β€” Voted 7-1 to raise rates 25bp to 1.00% (highest since 1995) and announced suspension of bond purchase reduction from April next year. Market reaction muted; yen briefly strengthened then faded. One dissenting vote came from a traditionally dovish board member citing elevated uncertainty.

β€’ Nikkei 225 breaks 70,000 β€” A milestone achieved during the BOJ hiking cycle, reflecting confidence in Japan’s economic recovery and corporate governance reforms.

β€’ NVIDIA’s first bond issuance in 5 years β€” Sized up from $20B to $25B, with $85B in orders (3.4x oversubscription). Not driven by funding needs; likely locking in long-term capital while rates remain attractive.

β€’ 6.7-magnitude earthquake in Sulawesi, Indonesia β€” Shallow 20km depth, no tsunami warning. Potential impact on local nickel and mineral supply chains.

β€’ Xi Jinping and Myanmar’s Min Aung Hlaing sign agreements β€” State visit enters signing phase; watch for details on China-Myanmar economic corridor deals.


🧭 Outlook

The BOJ’s “hike + stop tapering” combo was fully priced in, and the muted market reaction confirms this. Forward guidance from Ueda’s press conference later today becomes the new focal point.

Nikkei’s 70,000 break is symbolically significant, but profit-taking risk is elevated β€” the BOJ hiking cycle isn’t over, and sustained valuation expansion depends on corporate earnings delivery.

Gold finding support above 4300 as Barclays noted prices approaching fair value; geopolitical uncertainty and a softer dollar are reducing downside momentum.

NVIDIA’s massive bond oversubscription underscores institutional appetite for AI exposure, but the company’s healthy balance sheet makes the move look more strategic than desperate β€” watch for M&A signals.

A-share structural divergence deepens: ChiNext leading while traditional sectors lag, and ETF post-halt crashes highlight concentration risk in growth-focused capital flows.


⏰ Upcoming Key Events

β€’ Today PM: BOJ Governor Ueda’s press conference (watch for rate cycle endpoint guidance) β€’ This week: Super central bank week with multiple major central banks meeting β€’ Today: Continued disclosure of US-Iran deal details; watch for Hormuz reopening timeline