📰 Morning Briefing (00:00-08:00) | 2026-06-09

📊 Market Snapshot

  • 🥇 Gold XAUUSD 4317.35 (-0.29%) | Open 4330.73 High 4331.14 Low 4313.05
  • 🛢️ WTI Crude 92.268 (-0.11%) | Open 92.398 High 92.523 Low 92.248
  • 🏛️ US Inflation Expectations: NY Fed May 1-year ahead 3.46%, prior 3.64%, significant decline

🔥 Key Overnight Headlines

  • Iran-Israel ceasefire temporary: Trump and Netanyahu held second call within 24 hours; both sides announced ceasefires but remain at odds on Lebanon. Trump claims “total victory in two weeks,” while Iran ridiculed it as “verbal victory”
  • OpenAI secretly files for IPO: OpenAI revealed it has secretly filed for an IPO, timing TBD
  • Apple WWDC 2026: Launched Siri AI and iOS 27, but mainland China excluded from latest Siri AI. Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan may underwrite
  • SpaceX Nasdaq IPO: MSCI plans to use standard methodology for SpaceX index inclusion
  • Bearish oil ETFs hammered: Leveraged short oil ETFs saw largest-ever single-week outflows; bears capitulate
  • Israel strikes Lebanon: At least 17 killed in airstrikes on southern Lebanon,中东 instability persists
  • Russia nuclear warning: Deputy FM says Russia and Belarus ready to use all means including nuclear weapons for security
  • Trump economic approval hits rock bottom: Slumping due to Iran conflict and inflation rebound

🧭 Market Outlook

The Iran-Israel ceasefire is just a temporary pause. Fundamental disputes over Lebanon remain unresolved, and the weeks-long Hormuz Strait shutdown continues to build supply risk.

Gold consolidates around 4317 with no further overnight breakout. Short-term support at 4300; silver ETF continuous accumulation is noteworthy.

NY Fed inflation expectations dropping to 3.46% is a positive signal, but Trump’s declining economic approval may add policy uncertainty.

OpenAI and SpaceX IPO preparations keep tech sector热度 elevated. Apple’s China exclusion from Siri AI signals continued tech decoupling.

Oil holds above 92 in a tight range. CICC sees further upside. Bearish ETF capitulation means limited downside for crude in the near term.

📅 Today’s Key Data Calendar

  • ⏰ TBD China May Trade Balance
  • ⏰ TBD Apple WWDC Event
  • 🇩🇪 14:00 Germany April Industrial Output (MoM)
  • 🇩🇪 14:00 Germany April Trade Balance
  • 🇺🇸 18:00 US May NFIB Small Business Optimism Index