πŸ“Š Market Snapshot

Gold (XAUUSD) at $4,330.01, up $2.24 (+0.05%). Touched $4,353 intraday before pulling back, with an $84 range across the session.

WTI Crude at $92.90, down $1.17 (-1.27%). Modest bounce from $92.41 an hour ago, but still under pressure from ceasefire expectations. Day range $92.18–$96.57.

Nasdaq 100 futures extended gains to +1.5%, signaling risk-on sentiment.

πŸ”₯ Key Developments This Hour

β€’ Netanyahu has instructed the military to halt preparations for a fresh round of attacks on Iran, reportedly at Trump’s request. Operations in Lebanon will continue. β€’ All Iranian flights have been canceled until further notice β€” a ceasefire signal, but execution-level frictions persist. β€’ Russia plans to cutθ₯Ώιƒ¨ port oil exports by one-third in June (MoM) as refineries ramp up output, a meaningful supply-side tightening signal. β€’ Corning (GLW) +9% pre-market after Amazon announced a partnership to expand U.S. fiber-optic manufacturing, creating 1,000 advanced manufacturing jobs in North Carolina. β€’ Oppenheimer upgraded Oracle (ORCL) price target from $235 to $275, maintaining Outperform. β€’ Turkey’s central bank purchased $4.5B in forex last week, pushing total reserves to $160B; net reserves up $1.5B to $47.5B. β€’ Latest polls show Trump’s economic approval rating at its lowest since taking office, weighed down by the Iran conflict and resurgent inflation. β€’ Hezbollah fired rockets at Israeli artillery positions in Lebanon, but projectiles were intercepted before crossing the border β€” low-intensity hostilities continue.

🧭 Assessment

Netanyahu’s order to halt attack preparations, combined with Trump’s public pressure, suggests a ceasefire framework is taking shape. But Iran grounding all flights indicates the situation remains far from stable.

Russia’s voluntary one-third cut in western port exports provides a floor for crude prices β€” even as ceasefire expectations weigh on sentiment, supply tightening limits downside.

The Corning-Amazon fiber-optic deal is a landmark “Made in America” policy execution, with infrastructure investment logic continuing to play out across tech names.

Trump’s record-low economic approval is a political risk signal. Midterm election pressure may accelerate the White House’s push for trade and diplomatic de-escalation.

⏰ Upcoming Key Data

β€’ Fed Chair Warrick’s debut press conference imminent; markets watching for dot plot signals and statement language shifts β€’ Apple WWDC keynote underway β€” AI strategy reboot is the focal point β€’ ECB rate decision approaching; ING forecasts potential for a consecutive rate hike cycle β€’ Continue monitoring Iran-Israel ceasefire talks and Strait of Hormuz navigation status