πŸ“Š Market Snapshot

Gold (XAUUSD) at $4,302.40, down $25.37 (-0.59%), having touched $4,353 before retreating. WTI crude at $95.01, up $3.28 (+3.57%), peaking at $96.57 intraday. S&P 500 futures +0.4%, Nasdaq futures +0.85%. Micron up 4% pre-market.

πŸ”₯ Key Headlines This Hour

β€’ Wells Fargo massively upgrades Micron target price from $550 to $1,220. Stock up 4% pre-market. Semiconductor sentiment improving markedly. β€’ Trump says Israel and Iran are seeking immediate ceasefire, final negotiations ongoing, but “may be hindered by ignorant or foolish actions.” Blockade remains fully in effect until a deal is reached. β€’ Trump clarifies any Iran deal will not immediately unfreeze assets or lift sanctions β€” “that comes later.” β€’ IAEA Director General Grossi: Unable to access Iranian nuclear facilities since last year; Iran must cease illegal activities. Diplomatic path faces significant obstacles. β€’ EU Council sanctions two individuals and one entity over involvement in Iran’s threats to navigation freedom in the Strait of Hormuz. β€’ Kremlin says it is hard to imagine negotiations with Ukraine given Kyiv’s actions. β€’ Micron up 4% pre-market on Wells Fargo upgrade, lifting chip sector sentiment.

🧭 Situation Assessment

Middle East dynamics remain the dominant market driver.

Trump signals ceasefire progress but language remains vague β€” the blockade stays in effect until a deal is struck, leaving markets skeptical of near-term resolution.

IAEA locked out of Iran and EU ramping sanctions suggest the diplomatic path has momentum but faces real headwinds.

Oil spiked to $96.57 before pulling back; whether $95 holds depends on tangible ceasefire delivery, not just rhetoric.

Fed Governor Warsh’s inaugural appearance looms this week β€” markets will scrutinize three hawkish signals, and the policy tilt could lean further restrictive.

⏰ Upcoming Key Events

β€’ Fed Governor Warsh’s first public appearance and policy signals this week β€’ ECB rate decision expectations rising β€” ING forecasts potential consecutive rate hikes β€’ Apple WWDC tonight β€” Tim Cook’s final keynote as CEO, AI strategy relaunch β€’ Monitor market reaction to Israel central bank rate cut to 3.75%